Thursday, March 6, 2014

FOR SCIENCE: NA LCS Prediction Chart (2014 Spring LCS)


ACCURACY: 10 Right, 5 Wrong, 1 Tie
(10/16)*100%=62.5% Correct
(5/16)*100%=31.25% Incorrect
(1/16)*100%=6.25% No Prediction

Note: While Reginald is subbing in for Bjergsen, TSM does not get the +3 bonus
(Not enough data on Reginald to say whether this "Note" is worth taking into account)

Note: Bunny FuFuu from CRS and Sheep from XDG are other people I do not have much data on yet

Every point difference is a 2.5% ±2.5% higher chance to win.

Predictions:
3/7/2014

EG vs C9: CORRECT
EG=Trundle+Evelynn+LeBlanc+Jinx+Morgana=4+5+8+6+4=27
C9=Shyvana+Elise+Kha'Zix+Caitlyn+Thresh+3=6+7+7+5+6+3=34
(27 < 34) C9 Wins

CST vs TSM (Reginald Subbing): INCORRECT (would've been a toss up with +3 bonus)
CST=Vi+Shyvana+Nidalee+Lucian+Thresh=5+6+6+4+6=27
TSM=Renekton+Evelynn+Gragas+Caitlyn+Annie=5+5+4+5+5=24
(27 > 24) CST Wins

CLG vs DIG: CORRECT
CLG=Ryze+Elise+Nidalee+Sivir+Morgana+3=4+7+6+7+4+3=31
DIG=Dr. Mundo+Wukong+Ziggs+Jinx+Amumu+2=5+4+4+6+4+2=25
(31 > 25) CLG Wins

CRS vs XDG: CORRECT
CRS=Caitlyn+Lulu+Trundle+Vi+Leona=5+6+4+5+5=25
XDG=Orianna+Renekton+Lee Sin+Sivir+Morgana=4+5+4+7+4=24
(25 > 24) CRS Wins

CST vs DIG: CORRECT
CST=Jax+Elise+Kassadin+Thresh+Caitlyn=4+7+4+6+5=26
DIG=Kha'Zix+Lucian+Evelynn+Annie+Jayce+2=7+4+5+5+4+2=27
(26 < 27) DIG Wins


3/8/2014

TSM (Reginald Subbing) vs CLG: CORRECT
TSM=Gragas+Renekton+Annie+Elise+Sivir=4+5+5+7+7=28
CLG=Lulu+Vayne+Morgana+Shyvana+Jarvan IV+3=6+4+4+6+4+3=27
(28 > 27) TSM Wins

EG vs XDG: INCORRECT
EG=Evelynn+Jinx+Morgana+Gragas+Nidalee=5+6+4+4+6=25
XDG=Kha'Zix+Shyvana+Vi+Caitlyn+Annie=7+6+5+5+5=28
(25 < 28) XDG Wins

C9 vs CRS: CORRECT
C9=Renekton+Kha'Zix+LeBlanc+Caitlyn+Lulu+3=5+7+8+5+6+3=34
CRS=Lucian+Syndra+Trundle+Elise+Leona=4+4+4+7+5=24
(34 > 24) C9 Wins

TSM (Reginald Subbing) vs EG: CORRECT
TSM=Lulu+Dr. Mundo+Leona+Vi+Lucian=6+5+5+5+4=25
EG=Pantheon+Jinx+Morgana+Ahri+Gragas=5+6+4+4+4=23
(25 > 23) TSM Wins

XDG vs CST: CORRECT
XDG=Lulu+Trundle+Vi+Sivir+Leona=6+4+5+7+5=27
CST=Lee Sin+Evelynn+Ziggs+Thresh+Lucian=4+5+4+6+4=23
(27 > 23) XDG Wins

DIG vs C9: NO PREDICTION
DIG=Gragas+Lucian+Kha'Zix+Annie+Shyvana+2=4+4+7+5+6+2=28
C9=Renekton+Pantheon+Kassadin+Sivir+Morgana+3=5+5+4+7+4+3=28
(28 = 28) Toss Up


3/9/2014

XDG vs TSM (Reginald Subbing): INCORRECT
XDG=LeBlanc+Trundle+Evelynn+Caitlyn+Leona=8+4+5+5+5=27
TSM=Gragas+Shyvana+Annie+Pantheon+Ezreal=4+6+5+5+2=22
(27 > 22) XDG Wins

CLG vs CST: CORRECT
CLG=Lulu+Sivir+Leona+Shyvana+Evelynn+3=6+7+5+6+5+3=32
CST=Renekton+Vi+Ahri+Morgana+Lucian=5+5+4+4+4=22
(32 > 22) CLG Wins

DIG vs CRS: INCORRECT
DIG=Lulu+Lucian+Kha'Zix+Annie+Shyvana+2=6+4+7+5+6+2=30
CRS=Draven+Nidalee+Elise+Trundle+Thresh=4+6+7+4+6=27
(30 > 27) DIG Wins

C9 vs CLG: INCORRECT
C9=Trundle+Elise+Gragas+Lucian+Morgana+3=4+7+4+4+4+3=26
CLG=Caitlyn+Ziggs+Leona+Shyvana+Evelynn+3=5+4+5+6+5+3=28
(26 < 28) CLG Wins

CRS vs EG: CORRECT
CRS=Caitlyn+Kassadin+Trundle+Vi+Thresh=5+4+6+5+6=26
EG=Olaf+Sivir+Riven+Morgana+Gragas=5+7+3+4+4=23
(26 > 23) CRS Wins

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